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Five things to consider if you are thinking of buying a Dubai home in 2020

Five things to consider if you are thinking of buying a Dubai home in 2020

Knight Frank's Taimur Khan outlines the advantages currently on offer to would-be real estate investors in the emirate

So is 2020 a good time to invest in real estate in Dubai? Prices are edging towards decade-long lows, according to some research reports, and there appears to be deals to be done.

While there are still a number challenges which Dubai’s residential market is currently facing - a historic supply glut and now more recently due the Covid-19 pandemic softening in demand levels - there are many compelling factors underpinning relatively strong activity levels.


Given the more downbeat economic backdrop, a range of market fundamentals has shifted over the course of 2020. These changes, listed below, have and will continue to support activity from both investors and owner-occupiers, according to Taimur Khan, Associate Partner, Development Consultancy & Research, Knight Frank, the global real estate consultancy.

Here are his five reasons to buy property in Dubai:

1. Revaluation


It will come as no surprise to many market observers that average residential prices in Dubai are not far from the last decade’s historic lows. However, it is important to remember that Dubai is a collection of micro-markets so the headline numbers do not always tell the full story, which is that we are seeing the early stages of a recovery ensue.

Secondary areas and areas with an influx of supply are certainly still seeing considerable price declines, however, certain prime areas such as the Palm Jumeirah, Jumeirah Bay and District one have seen their respective average price per square foot increase in the first eight months of this year by up to 6 percent compared to the same period a year earlier.



2. Financing Costs


Interest rate cuts by the UAE Central Bank have led to a fall in the cost of borrowing. The UAE’s six-month EIBOR rate has falling from highs of 3.14 percent in early 2020, to lows of 0.50 percent in mid-September 2020. Mortgage rates have followed suit, with the median post promotional mortgage rate falling to 3.7 percent in September 2020, down from 5.2 percent a year earlier. Both investors and occupiers will take advantage of these very favourable financing rates.

3. Payment Plans


Lower financing costs are not the only way that affordability in the market has been improving. Given current market conditions, developers have begun to offer evermore favourable payment plans to entice demand. As at 2020, in Dubai, on average where payment plans are offered, 28.4 percent of the total payment is structured to be paid post-handover, up from 6.6 percent in 2016. Developers are now also demanding lower levels of payments during construction and on completion.



Where in 2016, 39.7 percent and 43.1 percent of the total payment was required on completion and during construction, in 2020, payments required during these periods have decreased to 28.3 percent and 34.1 percent respectively. Alongside this, larger developers are also offering service charge exemptions and transaction fee waivers amongst other offers.

4. Loan-to-Value (LTV) ratios


As part of the UAE Central Bank’s economic stimulus package, LTV ratios have been increased for first time buyers by five percent for all property purchases, including off-plan property mortgages. High LTV ratios have historically been cited as one of the most significant barriers for owner-occupation, particularly among expatriates, this easing of regulations is expected to encourage many to switch tenures.

5. Visa regulations


Visa regulations have also been eased in recent times, this change was in addition to a range of regulatory changes announced in 2019, which included the announcement of 100% on-shore business ownership. New legislations include the introduction of five year retirement visa for those over 55 years old with an investment of AED2 million or more in the property market, income in excess of AED20,000 per month or those with more than AED1 million in capital.

Other options include five-year visa terms for investors who purchase above the AED5 million threshold. In addition to these property related visas a range of business investment visas have also been approved. Capital investments over AED10 million in enterprise can obtain a 10-year visa, where up to 40 percent of the investment can be related to property purchases.



Entrepreneurs in the UAE with previous business investments worth over AED500,000 or those with a business, which is accredited by a business incubator, will be able to obtain a five-year visa with the possibility of obtaining the aforementioned business investor visa, should they eventually meet the criteria. Finally, the approved legislation also allows for a 10-year visa for high value talent in selected fields, as well as five-year visas for students who are studying in the UAE, and their families.

As many of these regulatory changes, such as the changes in visa regulations, are linked directly to property ownership, the long-term fundamentals underpinning demand for real estate in Dubai and indeed the wider UAE remains steadfast.

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