Arab Press

بالشعب و للشعب
Sunday, Jul 19, 2026

Coronavirus: How Iran is battling a surge in cases

Coronavirus: How Iran is battling a surge in cases

Iran has seen a significant surge in the number of coronavirus infections, and the official death toll has now gone above 20,000.

Cases spiked in mid-May and have remained high despite a re-imposition of some restrictions on movement.

The severity of the outbreak has been difficult to evaluate and there are concerns that the situation has been significantly worse than the government has revealed.

What do we know about the numbers in Iran?


Published data on new cases suggests that following a second peak at the start of June, the reported number of new cases has remained persistently high at well over 2,000 per day.



However, this may well be a significant underestimate, judging by documents which indicate that Iran has been withholding the true scale of the outbreak.

These documents - obtained by the BBC and believed to be unpublished Iranian official records - suggest a much higher death toll.

According to these figures, the pandemic could have killed as many as 42,000 Iranians by 21 July compared with some 14,000 deaths reported by the Health Ministry by that date.



Why have cases been rising?


In April, Iran began to ease its restrictions as daily infections fell:

* 20 April: Shopping malls and bazaars reopened and travel resumed between different provinces
* 22 April: Public parks and recreation areas reopened
* 12 May: Government allowed all mosques to reopen
* 25 May: Major Shia religious shrines reopened
* 26 May: Restaurants, cafes, museums and historical sites reopened

City transport systems across Iran, as well as banks and offices, have been packed with people.

The epidemic was initially concentrated in Qom and the capital, Tehran. But in the beginning of August, a flare-up was reported in the south-west, notably in Khuzestan province which borders Iraq.

Officials have suggested the renewed surge in new cases could be down to more testing, and President Hassan Rouhani has said this means you will find more cases.

Iran's chief epidemiologist at the country's health ministry, Mohammad-Mehdi Gouya, explained: "The main reason for the rising numbers is that we have started identifying [infected people] who have no or mild symptoms."

Iran increased its testing in June, and has tested about 31 people in every 100,000 people since then, considerably more than it did at the start of the pandemic.

But that's still less than the US or countries in Europe that have been hit by the virus.

The proportion of tests in Iran that return a positive result began to rise in late May and early June, reaching 14%. Since then it's stayed between nine and 10%.

That's about ten tests for each positive case.

The WHO has suggested at least 10 and as many as 30 tests per positive case is a good general benchmark for adequate testing, according to Our World in Data, which compiles coronavirus testing statistics.

That means that at the moment, Iran may not be doing quite enough testing to find all cases.


What steps have the authorities taken?


Health Minister Saeed Namaki said people were ignoring social distancing rules.


Officials have complained Iranians are not observing social distancing


"People have become completely careless regarding this disease," he told the Iranian news agency.

And a health ministry poll in June suggested only:

* 40% of the population were keeping the social-distancing rules, down from 90% earlier in the outbreak
* 32% were following the rules on self-isolation, down from 86%

During the initial outbreak, the Iranian authorities were criticised for their hesitation in closing down mosques and key religious sites, and for not moving quicker to introduce restrictions.

The leadership in Iran cannot afford to continue restrictions because of the state of the economy, according to BBC Persian's Rana Rahimpour.

She adds that it faces multiple challenges such as US sanctions, corruption and mismanagement.

President Rouhani has told Iranians they must wear face masks on public transport and in crowded areas, and said where necessary, the police and security forces will enforce the rules.


Muharram is an important event in the Iranian calendar


And Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has called for action to stop the rising level of infections, and criticised those who don't wear face masks.

In July, the authorities in the capital, Tehran, announced restrictions were being temporarily re-imposed on some businesses and public gatherings, including wedding halls, coffee shops, tea houses, amusement parks and zoos.

With the holy month of Muharram starting on 20 August, the health ministry has prohibited any gatherings indoors.

"The slightest negligence will lead to a spike," Health Minister Alireza Raisi has said.

Newsletter

Related Articles

Arab Press
0:00
0:00
Close
Turkey Explores S-400 Transfer to UAE in Bid to Rejoin F-35 Program
US Retaliates Against Iran After Two American Troops Killed in Jordan
Proposed U.S.-Saudi Nuclear Pact Could Permit Limited Uranium Enrichment Under International Safeguards
Why Kentucky Fried Chicken Became KFC—and Why the False Explanations Persist
Iran Claims It Destroyed Bahrain’s Main Artificial Intelligence Center in Missile and Drone Strike
Ukrainian Drones Strike Wildberries Warehouses Deep Inside Russia
Reported CIA Mission Helped Clear the UAE’s Path to Advanced US AI Chips
Artificial Intelligence Capital Fuels Markets While Governments and Regulators Face Mounting Strategic Tests
China’s Moonshot’s Kimi K3 Narrows the Gap With Anthropic Through Scale, Openness and Lower Cost
The Ledger Will Not Trust on Faith
Passenger Bound for Germany Refused to Sit Beside a Woman on a Plane — Then Slapped a Flight Attendant
Ukraine’s Leadership Rift Spills Into the Streets as Protesters Target Army Chief
The Ten World Cup Finals That Defined Football History
Smartphones Are Getting More Expensive, Sales Are Collapsing, and Even Apple Admits: "Prices Will Rise"
Leadership Change and Strategic Rivalry Redraw the Political Map
The AI Race Enters Its Infrastructure Era
Britain Nationalises British Steel to Protect Scunthorpe Production and Strategic Supply
Thomas Tuchel Faces Fierce Backlash After Tactical Retreat Costs England World Cup Final Berth
A Quiet Bastille Day: France Grapples with World Cup Heartbreak and Leftover Fireworks
Spain in Ecstasy: "We Feel Unbeatable, We Taught the Whole World a Lesson"
Harvard Astrophysicist to Lead U.S. Scientific Advisory on Unidentified Aerial Phenomena
Emergency Sirens Activated Across Bahrain as Interior Ministry Issues Shelter Directives
World Cup Visitors Turn American Big-Box Stores Into Souvenir Stops
Netflix Weighs Always-On Channels, Bundles and Short-Form Video
The AI Invoice Shock: Layoffs Didn't Save Managers Money — They Cost Them More
Concern: Sexually Transmitted Bacterium Among Men Develops Antibiotic Resistance
Passenger Partially Pulled Out of Ryanair Jet After Cabin Window Fails Mid-Flight
Severe Heatwave Drives Dangerous Ground-Level Ozone Pollution Across Two Thirds of European Union
The Physical and Electronic Barriers Disrupting Domestic Wireless Networks
France and Morocco Open World Cup Quarter-Finals as Collina Defends Refereeing
Tech Pulse: The Future of AI and Screen Culture
Global News Briefing: Escalating Geopolitical Tensions and Corporate Shakeups
Global News Brief: Escalating Conflicts, Public Health Crises, and World Cup Drama
Europe's Growing Struggle with Extreme Heat and Air Conditioning
Anthropic Reengineers Agentic Architecture to Shift Autonomous Workplace Automation to the Cloud
Logic Flaw in Windows 11 Permission Architecture Silently Consumes Hundreds of Gigabytes of Local Storage
Apple Advances Late-Stage Operating Systems with Fourth Beta Deployments
Global Crisis Alert: Escalating Middle East Tensions and UK Political Upheaval
Japanese Technology Firm Fujitsu Launches Advanced Artificial Intelligence Tool for Corporate Disclosures
South Africa Officially Launches Nationwide Campaign for Highly Contested Local Government Elections
United Kingdom Commits Additional Funding for Unexploded Ordnance Clearance in Laos
Singapore Announces Stringent New Greenhouse Gas Regulations for Commercial Cooling Systems
Cambodia and Thailand Hold High-Level Border Security Talks at United Nations Headquarters
Myanmar Military Government and China Sign Major Agreement to Upgrade Media and Cultural Cooperation
Knife Attack at Swiss Train Station Leaves Three Injured in Suspected Act of Domestic Terrorism
Transnational Extortion Gang Threatens Canadian Police With Army of One Thousand Armed Operatives
Australia Imposes Forty-Two-Day Quarantine on Cruise Ship Passengers Following Deadly Hantavirus Outbreak
International Monetary Fund Unlocks Seven Hundred Million United States Dollars for Sri Lanka Following Economic Reforms
Australia Launches Record One Point Four Billion Dollar Lawsuit Against Chemical Giant 3M Over Contamination
China and Canada Foreign Ministers Meet in Ottawa in Effort to Stabilize Strained Diplomatic Ties
×