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Friday, Feb 20, 2026

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Saudi Crude Exports to India Climb Sharply, Closing Gap With Russia

Rising shipments signal shifting dynamics in Asia’s largest energy market amid competitive pricing and supply recalibrations
Saudi Arabia has significantly increased its crude oil exports to India in recent months, narrowing the gap with Russia as New Delhi’s top supplier and reshaping competitive dynamics in one of the world’s fastest-growing energy markets.

Preliminary trade and shipping data indicate that Saudi shipments to Indian refiners have risen steadily, driven by attractive pricing, stable supply commitments and adjustments in refinery procurement strategies.

The increase comes after a period in which discounted Russian crude dominated India’s import mix following geopolitical disruptions and sanctions that redirected large volumes toward Asia.

Energy analysts say the renewed Saudi momentum reflects a combination of commercial incentives and strategic recalibration.

Saudi producers have adjusted official selling prices and supply allocations to maintain market share in Asia, while Indian refiners have sought to diversify sourcing to balance price advantages with logistical reliability and long-term contractual relationships.

India, the world’s third-largest oil importer, relies heavily on external supplies to meet domestic demand.

Its refiners have demonstrated flexibility in sourcing from a broad range of suppliers, including the Middle East, Russia and the United States, depending on pricing, freight costs and refining margins.

While Russia has remained a major supplier to India since Western sanctions reshaped global energy flows, recent data show Saudi Arabia regaining ground, reducing the differential in market share between the two exporters.

Industry observers note that competition between Riyadh and Moscow in the Indian market is likely to remain intense, particularly as global production adjustments and demand forecasts evolve.

The shift underscores the fluid nature of global crude trade, where pricing strategies, geopolitical considerations and refinery economics intersect.

With India’s energy demand expected to continue expanding in the coming years, suppliers are positioning themselves to secure long-term footholds in a market central to future global oil consumption growth.
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