UK Officials Doubt French Recognition of Palestinian State Amid Broader Diplomatic Tensions
Concerns grow over the potential delay of France's recognition of Palestine, with implications for UK policy and regional diplomatic dynamics.
British officials are expressing skepticism regarding French President Emmanuel Macron's intentions to proceed with the recognition of a Palestinian state next month.
This move would mark the first recognition by a G7 nation, which could also impact the timeline for the UK government's similar actions.
Macron indicated last month that France might recognize Palestine, joining 148 other countries, but highlighted his desire to do so at a UN conference in New York in June as part of a larger diplomatic effort.
The UN conference on the two-state solution is scheduled to take place from June 2 to 4, co-chaired by France and Saudi Arabia.
Israel has cautioned Macron that such recognition would be perceived as endorsing Hamas, prompting France to seek to mitigate this backlash by reinforcing a reformed Palestinian Authority tasked with governing Gaza.
UK Foreign Secretary David Lammy has confirmed to Parliament that discussions have occurred with the French government regarding recognition.
However, he clarified that the UK would not support a symbolic gesture without tangible effects.
There is a growing belief among British officials that France, which has debated the recognition of Palestine for over a decade, may conclude that conditions are not conducive for such a decision at this time.
Historically, the UK has stated its intention to recognize a Palestinian state but has refrained from specifying the criteria that would trigger such a decision.
British officials acknowledged significant frustration regarding the Israeli blockade of humanitarian aid to Gaza, coupled with growing pressures from backbench Labour MPs pushing for a government stance that endorses a more assertive initiative on the matter.
The UK Middle East Minister, Hamish Falconer, faced scrutiny in the Commons regarding legal assertions made by government lawyers claiming that there is no genocide occurring in Gaza or that specific targeting of women and children by Israel is occurring.
Edward Leigh, a senior Conservative MP, queried Falconer on the moral implications of the government's position, highlighting ongoing debates surrounding the nature of the conflict.
A Palestinian human rights organization, Al-Haq, is pursuing a judicial review to challenge the UK government's legality in continuing to supply components for F-35 fighter jets, which could be repurposed for Israel's efforts in Gaza.
A Ministry of Defence official presented heavily redacted documents in a closed court session, indicating that while the F-35 program is primarily under US jurisdiction, any UK requests to withhold parts from Israel would require consensus.
In response to its Palestine policy, the Labour Party noted the temporary suspension of arms exports to Israel for use in Gaza announced last September.
However, new figures released indicate that the UK government approved approximately $169 million worth of military equipment to Israel in the subsequent three months.
This includes approvals for 20 separate licenses for items such as military aircraft components and targeting equipment, a higher total than that authorized under the previous Conservative administration from 2020 to 2023.
The UK government has reiterated that military licenses are granted based on a rigorous assessable framework.
The current political climate has spurred demands for actionable steps to convey disapproval of Israel's military operations, particularly in light of its actions in Gaza.
The upcoming UN conference is rooted in a General Assembly resolution enacted following a July 2024 International Court of Justice advisory opinion, which declared the Israeli occupation unlawful.
An accompanying resolution passed in September 2024 called for a twelve-month timeframe for addressing the ICJ ruling.
Historically, France has oscillated on the issue of recognizing Palestine, often refraining from formal acknowledgment until the climate of international consensus is perceived as favorable.
Macron had previously stated in April his intention to move towards recognition within months, proposing participation in a collective diplomatic framework that recognizes Israel alongside Palestinian statehood.
Experts suggest that if Macron conditions his recognition of Palestine on Saudi Arabia's recognition of Israel, it may inhibit progress without significant developments, including a ceasefire.
The Saudi foreign ministry has reiterated accusations of genocide against Israel and indicated that normalization with Israel remains off their agenda.
Within Europe, only a handful of countries, including Spain, Ireland, Sweden, Slovenia, and Norway, have formally recognized Palestine.
In recent votes, the United States exercised its veto against full recognition at the UN in April 2024, directly contrasting the UK’s abstention and France’s supportive stance.
A recent article in a French publication highlighted the argument among politicians and scholars advocating for recognition as a moral and strategic necessity for France, calling it essential for escaping a diplomatic paradox amid its commitment to the two-state solution.
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