Arab Press

بالشعب و للشعب
Thursday, Oct 02, 2025

China’s demand for electric cars drives cobalt prices to two-year high

China’s demand for electric cars drives cobalt prices to two-year high

The metal is largely mined in the Democratic Republic of Congo and Chinese companies are investing heavily there.

Cobalt prices have soared by about a quarter since the start of the year, driven by the push for electric cars in China and the European Union, as well as Chinese stockpiling, analysts said.

On Tuesday, a tonne of cobalt was selling on the London Metal Exchange for US$40,000 – its highest level in two years. The metal is largely mined in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and shipped via South African ports to international markets.

It has become a strategic metal because of its use in lithium-ion batteries for electric cars and mobile phones, as well as for making alloys for jet turbine blades.


Raw cobalt after its first transformation at a plant in the Democratic Republic of Congo before it is exported to China for refining.


Chris Berry, president of New York-based commodities advisory firm House Mountain Partners, said robust electric car sales in China and the EU were behind the price rise.

When Covid-19 had brought much of the global economy to a screeching halt in 2020, the cobalt market was not spared, but as economies slowly reopened, electric car sales had handily outpaced those with internal combustion engines, and this was underpinning cobalt demand, he said.

According to Caspar Rawles, head of price assessments at London-based Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, electric vehicle (EV) sales had been weak in the first half of 2020, because of the coronavirus, but surging demand in the second half saw total year-on-year sales increase by 10.9 per cent on 2019.

Rawles said generous subsidy policies from European governments for the EV sector had contributed to the surprisingly strong electric car sales. Another factor in surging cobalt demand had been the boost in consumption of consumer electronics linked to home working, he added.

Rising demand for the metal compounded in late 2020 when the Chinese State Reserve Bureau announced another round of cobalt buying, according to Rawles. The pandemic had also tightened supply, with some operations in the DRC halted because of Covid-19 restrictions.

Refining of the metal in China – where more than 80 per cent of cobalt battery chemicals are produced – was also affected when coronavirus quarantine measures were imposed in the first four months of last year.

And there were logistical nightmares after the weeks-long closure of Durban port, from where most of the cobalt raw materials from the DRC are shipped.

Rawles said Benchmark was forecasting the market to fall into a slight deficit in 2021, which would grow over the coming years. “We see the cobalt market falling into a slight deficit, with supply at 147,000 tonnes and demand rising to 148,000 – but by 2025 this deficit widens, with supply at 211,000 and demand at 238,000 tonnes,” he said.

“This deficit is likely to bring about higher prices, which will incentivise new production, but the question is how quickly this new supply can be brought to market since typically this takes more than seven years, so too slow to react to imminent demand increase from the battery sector.”

China plays a significant role in the cobalt supply chain and has strategically positioned itself in its production and refining. Chinese companies have invested heavily in the DRC and the Central African nation is expected to continue being at the centre of cobalt supply for years to come.

Last year, 75 per cent of the world’s cobalt was produced in the DRC, and that dominance is expected to grow in the near term as major supply expansions are focused there too.

“While there are some growing key regions for cobalt production, with new projects being developed in Indonesia, Australia and Canada among others, we expect the DRC to remain the dominant source of cobalt for the foreseeable future,” Rawles said.

Berry said there were decades’ worth of reserves and resources in the DRC and when coupled with high copper prices it was economically very attractive to produce cobalt as a by-product of copper mining.

“While there are cobalt resources in Canada and Australia, for example, they lack the scale needed to compete with the DRC,” he said.

“I would think that the percentage of cobalt refined in the country would remain steady going forward.”

As EV sales continued to ramp up, with China expected to account for at least 50 per cent of the market going forward, Berry said cobalt use in lithium-ion batteries could double by 2025.

“It’s a tough call to make beyond 2025, as that is the point in time when I think EV sales could take hold. I expect to see some real innovation in battery chemistry by then, but the cobalt market will remain tight and prone to shocks due to the geopolitical reputation of the metal and its importance in battery technology and the wider economy,” he said.

Rawles said that although there was little domestic production, China had a stake in a large percentage of overseas mining operations and was moving to acquire more.

Chinese companies were very active in the DRC, he said, pointing to China Molybdenum’s recent purchase of the as yet undeveloped Kisanfu resource for US$550 million from Freeport McMoRan. The Chinese company already owns Tenke, the world’s second-largest cobalt mine, also in the DRC.

Some of the other Chinese companies operating in the DRC include Huayou Cobalt, Chengtun Mining, Wanbao and CNMC.

In Indonesia, which is looking to become a new battery raw material hub, particularly focused around nickel and cobalt, most companies developing such operations are Chinese, Rawles said.

Besides raw material production, Rawles said China was even more dominant, with about 65 per cent of the world’s cobalt in all forms refined in China, and around 85 per cent of the world’s cobalt chemicals – many of which are used in the battery supply chain – produced there.

“So, China has a big stake in the cobalt supply chain currently, and this is something we are expecting to grow in the coming years,” he said.

Newsletter

Related Articles

Arab Press
0:00
0:00
Close
Altman Says GPT-5 Already Outpaces Him, Warns AI Could Automate 40% of Work
Trump Organization Teams with Saudi Developer on $1 Billion Trump Plaza in Jeddah
Archaeologists Recover Statues and Temples from 2,000-Year-Old Sunken City off Alexandria
Colombian President Petro Vows to Mobilize Volunteers for Gaza and Joins List of Fighters
Nvidia and Abu Dhabi’s TII Launch First AI-&-Robotics Lab in the Middle East
UK, Canada, and Australia Officially Recognise Palestine in Historic Shift
Dubai Property Boom Shows Strain as Flippers Get Buyer’s Remorse
JWST Data Brings TRAPPIST-1e Closer to Earth-Like Habitability
UAE-US Stargate Project Poised to Make Abu Dhabi a Global AI Powerhouse
Saudi Arabia cracks down on music ‘lounges’ after conservative backlash
Saudi Arabia Signs ‘Strategic Mutual Defence’ Pact with Pakistan, Marking First Arab State to Gain Indirect Access to Nuclear Strike Capabilities in the Region
Turkish car manufacturer Togg Enters German Market with 5-Star Electric Sedan and SUV to Challenge European EV Brands
World’s Longest Direct Flight China Eastern to Launch 29-Hour Shanghai–Buenos Aires Direct Flight via Auckland in December
New OpenAI Study Finds Majority of ChatGPT Use Is Personal, Not Professional
Kuwait opens bidding for construction of three cities to ease housing crunch.
Indian Student Engineers Propose “Project REBIRTH” to Protect Aircraft from Crashes Using AI, Airbags and Smart Materials
Could AI Nursing Robots Help Healthcare Staffing Shortages?
Turkish authorities seize leading broadcaster amid fraud and tax investigation
Apple Introduces Ultra-Thin iPhone Air, Enhanced 17 Series and New Health-Focused Wearables
Big Oil Slashes Jobs and Investments Amid Prolonged Low Crude Prices
Social Media Access Curtailed in Turkey After CHP Calls for Rallies Following Police Blockade of Istanbul Headquarters
Gold Could Reach Nearly $5,000 if Fed Independence Is Undermined, Goldman Sachs Warns
Uruguay, Colombia and Paraguay Secure Places at 2026 World Cup
Trump Administration Advances Plans to Rebrand Pentagon as Department of War Instead of the Fake Term Department of Defense
Tether Expands into Gold Sector with Profit-Driven Diversification
Trump’s New War – and the ‘Drug Tyrant’ Fearing Invasion: ‘1,200 Missiles Aimed at Us’
At the Parade in China: Laser Weapons, 'Eagle Strike,' and a Missile Capable of 'Striking Anywhere in the World'
Information Warfare in the Age of AI: How Language Models Become Targets and Tools
Israeli Airstrike in Yemen Kills Houthi Prime Minister
After the Shock of Defeat, Iranians Yearn for Change
YouTube Altered Content by Artificial Intelligence – Without Permission
Iran Faces Escalating Water Crisis as Protests Spread
More Than Half a Million Evacuated as Typhoon Kajiki Heads for Vietnam
HSBC Switzerland Ends Relationships with Over 1,000 Clients from Saudi Arabia, Lebanon, Qatar, and Egypt
Sharia Law Made Legally Binding in Austria Despite Warnings Over 'Incompatible' Values
Dogfights in the Skies: Airbus on Track to Overtake Boeing and Claim Aviation Supremacy
Tim Cook Promises an AI Revolution at Apple: "One of the Most Significant Technologies of Our Generation"
Are AI Data Centres the Infrastructure of the Future or the Next Crisis?
Miles Worth Billions: How Airlines Generate Huge Profits
Zelenskyy Returns to White House Flanked by European Allies as Trump Pressures Land-Swap Deal with Putin
Beijing is moving into gold and other assets, diversifying away from the dollar
Trump Backs Putin’s Land-for-Peace Proposal Amid Kyiv’s Rejection
Zelenskyy to Visit Washington after Trump–Putin Summit Yields No Agreement
Iranian Protection Offers Chinese Vehicle Shipments a Cost Advantage over Japanese and Korean Makers
United States Sells Luxury Yacht Amadea, Valued at Approximately $325 Million, in First Sale of a Seized Russian Yacht Since the Invasion of Ukraine
Saudi Arabia accelerates renewables to curb domestic oil use
Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodríguez announce engagement
Asia-Pacific dominates world’s busiest flight routes, with South Korea’s Jeju–Seoul corridor leading global rankings
Private Welsh island with 19th-century fort listed for sale at over £3 million
Sam Altman challenges Elon Musk with plans for Neuralink rival
×